Modification 1: I misexpressed the English expression for the sum of expected infected people; the scales for the figures are in anyway correct. I described the right order.
Modification 2: I found a bag for sorting of labels. The graph lines are all the more same, but description for the analyses are changed. Additionally, I utilized 16 countries with longer time points.
http://shunadachi.hatenablog.com/entry/2020/05/19/100829
